Friday, February 15, 2008

Hawaii democratic caucus and the result

Update ( 01.23am local): (100% reporting):
Obama (28347) 76%, Clinton (8835) 24%

Update ( 11.37pm local): (68% reporting): Obama (20974) 76%, Clinton (6529) 24%
Update (10.10pm local): (30% reporting): Obama (5436) 74%, Clinton (1875) 25%
Update (9.25pm local): (10% reporting): Obama (2258) 77%, Clinton (666) 23%
Update (Feb. 19): Obama's internal projections last week had him winning 52% to 47%.
Update (19Feb):Democratic Party officials predict heavy turnout at 68 caucus sites statewide, from rural farm houses to urban high schools. Only about 4,000 people participated in the party caucus four years ago.Officials have ordered extra ballots as a precaution, and some worry that even those may not be enough for everyone.Anyone who signs up as a member of the Democratic Party, even at the caucus itself, will be eligible to participate.
Caucus turnout has never exceeded 5,000 but party officials believe that figure could double tonight and could reach as high as 12,000. Local volunteers for Barack Obama are suggesting that turnout could even climb into the 15,000 to 18,000 range, which would likely overwhelm party volunteers conducting the presidential preference poll. Voting is scheduled between 7 and 7:30 p.m. at a minimum but the party will accept ballots from people who are in line to register to vote, sign a party membership card, or mark a ballot by 7:30 p.m. Party officials said that more than 1,200 people had joined the party in the weeks before Super Tuesday. But an additional 5,000 people have since signed up as the caucuses became relevant to the Democratic presidential nomination. (more...)

(29 delegates at stake). Local volunteers for Clinton believe she may be stronger outside of urban Honolulu and on the Neighbor Islands, where traditional Democrats and labor unions appear to have more influence. Most of the grassroots activity and energy, however, are behind Obama, who was born in Hawaii and graduated from Punahou School. Higher caucus turnout would generally favor Obama. (more...)

A nice graphical presentation of what is going on.

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